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And Now For Some Good News

by Brandon on August 20, 2008

With all the doom and gloom in the reporting on the current real estate market, don’t you think it is time for some good news? Well, I do.

And, oddly enough, it is the same as all that bad news we have been hearing. You know, about real estate prices tumbling in California. For people who have not been able to enter the real estate market for close to a decade, there is now a remarkable opportunity. In just one year, according to the San Francisco Chronicle, the number of Californians who can afford to buy a home has doubled:

 

The percentage of households able to buy an entry-level residence in the state reached 48 percent during the second quarter, double the level from a year ago, according to the California Association of Realtors.

The trade group defines a starter home as one priced at 85 percent of an area’s median, which works out to $329,120 for the state. The minimum income needed to purchase such a property is $62,870, down from $101,440 a year ago (assuming an adjustable-rate mortgage starting at 5.69 percent and a 10 percent down payment).

Well, it may not be the news you were looking for. But if you are one of those who has been frustrated in the past half a dozen years or so about being priced out of the market, your time may have come.

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Sacramento County sees slowdown in housing slide

by Brandon on March 27, 2008

From the Sacramento Bee:

The Sacramento-area housing market is still declining, but a surge of buying by investors in February helped spark the first major slowdown in Sacramento County’s long slide since 2005, DataQuick Information Systems reported Thursday.

February sales of new and existing homes in Sacramento County – the largest sector of the region’s real estate market – fell just 7.7 percent from February 2007, the La Jolla firm said. That’s the first single-digit decline in year-over-year home sales in Sacramento County since August 2005.

Likewise, the 1,015 existing Sacramento County homes that closed escrow in February were only six fewer than in February 2007. It was the first time in at least two years that year-over-year sales didn’t fall by double-digit percentages

DataQuick officials attributed the change partly to more investors buying foreclosed homes.

Investors who have been holding off have decided “to swoop down and grab what they perceive as a bargain,” said DataQuick analyst Andrew LePage. “That’s a natural part of the real estate ecosystem.”

But experts warn not to bet that the worst is over based on only one month’s data. February tends to be a slower winter month that is considered unreliable for trend-spotting.

Still, there’s no doubt the steep drop in home values – median prices in Sacramento County are almost 28 percent below last year’s figures – and relatively low interest rates have sparked interest.

LePage said investor buys accounted for 18.6 percent of February closings in Sacramento County. That’s up significantly from 12.7 percent in November and December. DataQuick counts investment homes as those where the property tax bill goes to an address different from the purchase site.

DataQuick said that median sales prices rose slightly in February from the previous month in five counties: Amador, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento and Yolo counties.

Overall, sales remained weak, though real estate broker Tom Zipp of Citrus Heights said Thursday that rising investor activity “traditionally signals the bottom part of the market.”

Closed escrows for new and existing homes in Sacramento County clung to a 10-year low for February, DataQuick reported. Placer County sales remained at an 11-year low.

Regionally, the 2,061 escrow closings in Amador, El Dorado, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento, Yolo and Yuba counties barely outpaced February’s 1,713 foreclosures, according to Fair Oaks-based Foreclosures.com. Sutter County sales figures were not available.

Those figures reflect a nationwide trend. Irvine-based researcher RealtyTrac reported Thursday that nearly 60 percent more U.S. homes faced foreclosure in February than in the same month last year, with Nevada, California and Florida showing the highest foreclosure rates. The overall U.S. foreclosure rate last month was one filing for every 557 homes.

Locally, LePage said first-time buyers are helping “set a floor” in the region’s most distressed areas for home sales and prices.

“They’re able to buy a house with safe and sane financing and a small down payment,” he said.

In Sacramento County only home builders saw a continued big decline in escrow closings. Builders, who are fighting for market share against the increasing dominance of banks selling their foreclosed homes, reported a 32.2 percent drop in closings in February compared with the same time last year.

Other highlights:

• Sacramento County showed a February median sales price of $257,000. That was down 27.7 percent from a year ago. But it was up from $253,000 in January. The median price is the point at which half sell for more and half sell for less.

• Placer County reported a 30.7 percent drop in sales of new and existing homes in February compared with the same time in 2007. Its $364,000 median sales price was down 15.3 percent from February 2007. But it was up from $360,500 in January.

• El Dorado County sales were down 25.3 percent from the same month in 2007. Its $405,000 median sales price for new and existing homes was 15.6 percent below a year earlier. Sales prices were down slightly from $407,500 in January.

• Yolo County’s February sales were down 27.2 percent from the same time a year ago. Its $318,000 median sales price was down 19.5 percent from a year earlier, but up from $307,500 in January.

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